Abstract:
The article aims to analyze the impact of changes in terms of trade and terms of
trade volatility on economic growth in Poland in the period 1980-2009. The results of test using the vector autoregressive model (VAR) revealed that improved
terms of trade in Poland led to increased growth of GDP per capita, while the increase in terms of trade volatility reduced the growth rate of GDP per capita in
Poland. In addition, there was confirmed the greater impact of changes in terms of
trade, than the terms of trade volatility on the dynamics of economic growth in
Poland. It was also demonstrated that the changes in terms of trade and terms of
trade volatility explained in a similar degree the variation of GDP per capita in
Poland in the period 1980-2009.