Abstract:
This paper analyzes the presence of a speculative component during the extraordinary upsurge in Karachi Stock Exchange. We implement cointegration tests,
between 1997 and 2008, on price and dividends of various market and sectoral
indices. The no bubble hypothesis could not be rejected for market level indices
establishing the presence of a speculative factor.Among sectoral indices, banking
sector depicted a speculative component, however, the price level of Oil and Gas
sector did not diverge from the related dividends.These results remained robust with evidence of persistent volatility shocks for the sample period.